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HomeSports2022 NFL win total odds, picks: Bet Over on Chiefs, fade Patriots...

2022 NFL win total odds, picks: Bet Over on Chiefs, fade Patriots and more staff predictions

The beginning of the 2022 NFL common season is only a week away, which implies you will have only one week to lock in your futures bets. Over at Caesars Sportsbook, they’ve intriguing props on plenty of futures, equivalent to which participant will win MVP, who will lead the NFL in passing touchdowns and who will win Defensive Rookie of the 12 months. Then, there are the Over/Beneath win totals. 

Annually, I try to assemble the most effective and brightest at CBS Sports activities, in order that we are able to argue which NFL teams are going to impress throughout the upcoming season, and which of them will disappoint. This yr, I requested every of our CBS stars to provide me two finest Over/Beneath bets. Earlier than we get began, this is the rundown on the panel: Senior author Pete Prisco and Decide Six Podcast host Will Brinson, plus CBS Sports activities editors Kevin Steimle, Brett Anderson and Kyle Stackpole, writers John Breech, Ryan Wilson, Chris Trapasso, Jordan Dajani, Shanna McCarriston, Jared Dubin, Josh Edwards, Tyler Sullivan, Bryan DeArdo, Cody Benjamin and Jeff Kerr. 

We are going to listing each win whole for context, however not all groups could have a “finest wager.” Let’s go forward and soar in.

All NFL odds are through Caesars Sportsbook.

Over 9 (+118) | Beneath 9 (-140)

No finest bets

Over 5 (+122) | Beneath 5 (-145)

Benjamin: Beneath 5. In case you may throw to Kyle Pitts each play with out the protection adjusting, they is perhaps high quality. However even of their division, wins will likely be laborious to come back by. This crew feels primed for a much bigger overhaul come 2023.

Over 9.5 (-165) | Beneath 9.5 (+140)

No finest bets

Over 11.5 (-140) | Beneath 11.5 (+118)

No finest bets

Over 6.5 (+100) | Beneath 6.5 (-120)

McCarriston: Over 6.5. The Panthers want to remain wholesome, but when they do I consider they’ll win greater than six video games. They’ve a brand new quarterback in Baker Mayfield who will likely be decided to show himself and as of proper now, star working again Christian McCaffrey is able to go for the season. They’re actually a crew with a number of questions, however the power of their division and their schedule makes me suppose they’re able to placing up greater than six wins.

Over 6 (-105) | Beneath 6 (-115)

Anderson: Beneath 6. The Bears have a foul offensive line, Justin Fields‘ rookie yr was terrible, they misplaced Allen Robinson from a awful WR group and so they’ve acquired a first-time head coach whose experience is on the protection. I believe what I am attempting to say is they don’t seem to be going to attain very many factors. Perhaps Chicago will not be dangerous on ‘D’, however they traded away Khalil Mack and Roquan Smith desires to be traded too. In the meantime, the Vikings and Lions ought to be a lot improved and the Packers will likely be good. I do not see six wins right here.

Stackpole: Beneath 6. The Bears received six video games final season. Since then, the Vikings and Lions have gotten higher whereas the Packers, even absent Davante Adams, nonetheless personal Chicago. Add in that the Bears have a brand new teaching workers and maybe the NFL‘s worst receiving corps, and it is simply going to be too laborious for the offense to maintain up with opponents to go over this quantity.

Brinson: Beneath 6. This was clearly rather more engaging when it was 6.5, however I do not suppose it issues a lot. The Bears are a extremely dangerous soccer crew with a extremely dangerous roster and a second-year quarterback who has just about no assist by way of ability place guys. The protection gave up a number of of the most effective gamers on the defensive position and should not be capable of cease the run. A brand new teaching workers and entrance workplace is clearly attempting to setup for a full-blown rebuild and whereas the Bears have a simple schedule I simply do not see an actual clear path for them to win greater than six video games.

Over 9.5 (-135) | Beneath 9.5 (+115)

No finest bets

Over 8.5 (+130) | Beneath 8.5 (-155)

McCarriston: Beneath 8.5. The Cleveland Browns will begin off the season with Jacoby Brissett at beginning quarterback, with Deshaun Watson suspended 11 video games for violating the league’s private conduct coverage. The Browns shouldn’t have essentially the most tough power of schedule based mostly on final yr’s opponents’ wins, however being tied for seventeenth within the class does imply they may face some robust opponents. With the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens of their division, racking up wins will likely be tough with the crew they’ve.

Over 10.5 (+130) | Beneath 10.5 (-155)

Edwards: Beneath 10.5. Dallas must go 11-6 or higher for me to lose cash and the percentages of that occuring are slim. The Cowboys didn’t enhance final yr’s crew and it isn’t unreasonable to query whether or not or not there could also be some defensive regression of their future.

Over 10 (+105) | Beneath 10 (-125)

DeArdo: Beneath 10. Ten wins is a excessive quantity for a crew with a brand new coach that hasn’t made the playoffs since 2015. On paper, the Broncos have the expertise to finish their playoff drought, however will they be capable of win sufficient video games in arguably the NFL’s hardest division? And can Russell Wilson return to kind after a so-so last season in Seattle? Wilson will greater than probably return to play at a Professional Bowl degree, however I am nonetheless taking the Broncos to complete with single digit wins.

Detroit Lions

Over 6.5 (-155) | Beneath 6.5 (+130)

No finest bets

Inexperienced Bay Packers

Over 11 (+100) | Beneath 11 (-120) 

No finest bets

Over 4.5 (+100) | Beneath 4.5 (-120)

Anderson: Over 4.5. The Texans received 4 video games final yr amid the Deshaun Watson mess, turning to then-rookie Davis Mills after he began simply 11 video games in his school profession. Mills confirmed potential and now has 11 NFL begins below his belt, whereas Brandin Cooks is an efficient WR, and each Nico Collins and Dameon Pierce have been preseason gems. This isn’t to say the Texans will likely be good, however they want solely win yet one more sport than final yr to go Over, and their schedule has the Bears, Giants and Washington, a house sport vs. a rusty Watson, plus two video games every towards the Jags and the remainder of a division the place video games are often shut. We’re getting +100 that they’re going to win 5 in a 17-game schedule? Seize it.

Trapasso: Over 4.5. Houston’s roster is not nice, however to me it is clearly on the rise. Davis Mills was the most effective rookie quarterback final season — sure, his end pushed him forward of Mac Jones — and the entrance workplace added some enjoyable items to the secondary. This crew went 4-13 a yr in the past, which included a 1-4 document in one-score video games. They will *not less than* be a sport higher in 2022. 

Over 10 (-115) | Beneath 10 (-105)

No finest bets

Over 6.5 (+100) | Beneath 6.5 (-120)

Sullivan: Over 6.5. The dumpster fireplace that was the City Meyer expertise is over and now Doug Pederson is working the present in Jacksonville. I anticipate that straightforward change in management to assist this crew exponentially and can get Trevor Lawrence again on monitor to being probably the greatest and brightest younger quarterbacks within the sport. I consider they will sweep the Texans, upset Washington out of the gate in Week 1, and deal with each New York groups which can be on the schedule. That already will get us to 5 wins and we’ve not even talked about they will play the Lions in Week 13. If they’ll shock one crew and even cut up the season collection with their different AFC South opponents, they need to recover from this quantity. 

Over 10.5 (-125) | Beneath 10.5 (+105)

Dubin: Over 10.5. This seems like stealing. In Patrick Mahomes‘ 4 seasons because the starter, the Chiefs have by no means received fewer than 12 video games. How does 10.5 make sense as this line?

Kerr: Over 10.5. Do not care how a lot better the AFC West is, laborious to wager towards Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs received 12 video games final yr with a critical menace from the Chargers in each their matchups and the Raiders making the playoffs. Mahomes continues to be one among — if not the — finest participant in soccer and Reid is the most effective coach within the sport proper now. The Chiefs passing sport will likely be high quality and their protection is an underrated unit. Lengthy as Mahomes takes the sector, simply hit the over. 

Brinson: Over 10.5. Everyone seems to be down on the Chiefs this yr as a result of KC dealt Tyreek Hill and the remainder of the AFC West went full arms race. It is comprehensible logic, but it surely ignores one thing very apparent: the Chiefs nonetheless have Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes. Hill is a serious loss, however there’s nonetheless Travis Kelce and the host of underrated weapons Reid can make the most of in quite a lot of methods. Reid has solely missed the over on his win whole as soon as since he acquired to Kansas Metropolis in 2013. 

Las Vegas Raiders

Over 8.5 (-130) | Beneath 8.5 (+110)

No finest bets

Los Angeles Chargers

Over 10 (-150) | Beneath 10 (+130)

Breech: Over 10. I as soon as swore to myself that I’d by no means wager on something involving the Chargers, however I’ve determined to interrupt that vow as a result of I really feel like they are a lock to hit this over. I truly suppose they may win 12 or 13 video games, which can get them simply previous 10. 

Over 10.5 (-110) | Beneath 10.5 (-110)

No finest bets

Over 8.5 (-135) | Beneath 8.5 (+115)

Dajani: Over 8.5. The Dolphins received 9 video games final yr with one of many worst offensive traces within the NFL and with Tua Tagovailoa lacking 5 begins. You are telling me Vegas actually would not suppose they’ll win not less than 9 video games in 2022 with the entire nice additions they made? Head coach Mike McDaniel is likely one of the extra intriguing up-and-coming figures on this league, the Dolphins added Tyreek Hill and Ced Wilson at receiver and Connor Williams and Terron Armstead on the offensive line. I am conscious that there are some questions on Tagovailoa, however possibly that is the rationale why Miami signed a number of authentic working backs in free company. If Tagovailoa struggles, the Dolphins ought to nonetheless be capable of depend on this new floor sport. That is how McDaniel needed to function final yr with the San Francisco 49ers

Minnesota Vikings

Over 9 (-135) | Beneath 9 (+115)

No finest bets

Over 8.5 (-125) | Beneath 8.5 (+105)

Prisco: Beneath 8.5. I simply do not see the expertise on this roster and the offense has been a large number this preseason. This decide goes towards the historical past with Invoice Belichick, however I’m bucking the development that he could have a shedding season in New England. 

Sullivan: Beneath 8.5. The change in strategy on offense — and people who have their hand on the wheel of that offense — has me spooked for New England and has an opportunity of blowing up in Invoice Belichick’s face. Not solely are there issues in regards to the offense, however the cornerback spot continues to be a priority for me and their schedule is not notably type. Sure, there’s a simple patch within the center however you are still taking a look at a top-10 most tough schedule within the league when taking a look at their opponents’ projected win whole. They’re additionally tied with the Texans for the second-worst Web Relaxation Edge within the league, in response to Sharp Soccer Evaluation. With the AFC getting tougher by the minute and the division bettering with Miami making strikes this offseason, I am fading the Pats in 2022.

Trapasso: Beneath 8.5. I do know, I do know, the previous adage is rarely wager towards the Patriots. However that is clearly not the Tom Brady Patriots anymore. And whereas I’m keenly conscious of the game-planning and defensive prowess of Invoice Belichick, there’s solely a lot he can do. The offense is being run by Matt Patricia and Joe Decide (!) and lacks weaponry round strong however restricted second-year quarterback Mac Jones, and the secondary has been stripped of its stars. I see New England taking just a few steps backward in 2022 in what will likely be a deeper AFC East. Really, it feels a lot must go proper for New England to land at even 8-9. 

Over 8.5 (-130) | Beneath 8.5 (+110)

Dubin: Beneath 8.5. If you are going to let me wager on Jameis Winston not going .500 or higher after shedding Sean Payton as his head coach, I’ll do it.

Prisco: Over 8.5. The Saints will likely be pushed to the postseason and a division title by their protection. That is a giant change from the Drew Brees years, however this yr’s protection would possibly find yourself as the most effective within the NFL. Jameis Winston has to deal with the ball and they are going to be a playoff crew. He does. 

Dajani: Over 8.5. The Saints received 9 video games final yr regardless of not having Jameis Winston for greater than half the season, and so they once more swept the season collection with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Winston regarded a lot better in 2021 in comparison with his final season as a starter in 2019. He received 5 of seven begins and threw 14 touchdowns opposed to only three interceptions. I perceive if individuals do not see Winston as a top-tier signal-caller, however it’s important to remember that he lastly has a large receiving corps to work with because of the additions of Jarvis Landry, Chris Olave and the return of Michael Thomas. Oh, and the protection will likely be a high 5 unit too.

New York Giants

Over 7 (+105) | Beneath 7 (-125)

Steimle: Beneath 7. This seems like stealing to me. The Giants offense ought to enhance, however there’s actually nowhere to go however up there. The offensive line is healthier however some accidents on the inside of the road ought to sluggish the progress and continuity. The depth within the secondary scares me and if defensive coordinator Wink Martindale stays true to kind with a blitz-happy protection, it may be problematic. The schedule just isn’t too tough however this crew might want to be taught to crawl earlier than it might stroll. I can see some strides being made below Brian Daboll and I believe the long run is vivid with him and Joe Schoen on the helm, however not sufficient to get to seven wins this season. For what it is price, I’ve nailed the Giants win whole 4 straight years.

Over 5.5 (-150) | Beneath 5.5 (+126)

No finest bets

Over 9.5 (-140) | Beneath 9.5 (+118)

Benjamin: Over 9.5. Sure, purchase the hype. If Howie Roseman is nice at one factor, it is accelerating the competition window for rebuilding groups. Even when Jalen Hurts is not elite at QB, they’ve improved each space of weak point. And so they nonetheless play within the NFC East.

Kerr: Over 9.5. I am sorry, however that is ridiculously low for a crew that received 9 video games final season and have a way more gifted roster. The Eagles solidified broad receiver with A.J. Brown, go rusher with Haason Reddick, cornerback with James Bradberry, and security with Chauncey Gardner-Johnson. Jordan Davis is predicted to be a major contributor to that protection within the trenches and their offensive line is arguably the most effective in soccer. In fact, this all comes all the way down to Jalen Hurts — however he is had a great summer season. Hit the over in Philadelphia, particularly since Dallas seems to be taking a slight step again. 

Over 7.5 (-105) | Beneath 7.5 (-135)

Wilson: Over 7.5. This feels disrespectful, even for a Steelers crew with out Large Ben. Mitch Trubisky, Kenny Pickett and Mason Rudolph all regarded good within the preseason, and all are able to working the offense — particularly with the expertise on the ability positions — however the largest subject will likely be an offensive line that may very well be a much bigger mess than a yr in the past. That mentioned, the protection is stout and Mike Tomlin, who has been the coach since 2007, has by no means had a shedding season. Do not see that altering in 2022.

DeArdo: Over 7.5. This can be essentially the most attention-grabbing crew over/below of the season. The Steelers hitting the over/below will come all the way down to 4 issues: the play of Mitch Trubisky/Kenny Pickett, the pseudo re-vamped offensive line, Najee Harris‘ sturdiness and the protection’s means to beat a questionable inside linebacker corps. Mike Tomlin has by no means had a shedding season in Pittsburgh courting again to 2007. I do not see him having one now.

Steimle: Over 7.5. Mike Tomlin has by no means had a shedding season and it isn’t going to occur this yr both. I believe Mitch Trubisky or Kenny Pickett can handle the offense and the protection ought to be adequate to get this crew to not less than eight wins. 

San Francisco 49ers

Over 10 (-110) | Beneath 10 (-110)

No finest bets

Over 6 (+135) | Beneath 6 (-155)

Edwards: Beneath 6. I’m often searching for plus cash, however this one was simply too straightforward to go up. I don’t suppose Seattle has any need to play themselves out of competition for a high quarterback prospect subsequent April. I believe that has been the plan ever since buying and selling Russell Wilson. 

Dajani: Beneath 6. I predicted the Seahawks would take a step backward in 2021, and even mentioned that they had the worst roster within the division coming into final season. That was a fairly sizzling take for a crew that hadn’t completed decrease than second within the NFC West since 2011. I may speak about Seattle’s QB scenario coming into this season or how this protection is not probably the greatest within the league, however there are two elements driving my resolution to take the Beneath: Seattle resides in arguably the hardest division within the NFL, and it has to face the opposite hardest division within the NFL within the AFC West. That is 10 video games the place Seattle probably will not be favored. Throw in the truth that the Seahawks play the Buccaneers in Tampa, and that solely helps my trigger.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Over 11.5 (+118) | Beneath 11.5 (-140) 

Breech: Beneath 11.5. The Buccaneers have misplaced so many offensive linemen this offseason that I am not even positive they will have sufficient to discipline a crew this yr. By Week 4, Tom Brady might be going to be wishing he had stayed retired. 

Wilson: Beneath 11.5. It is silly to wager towards Tom Brady however possibly that is the yr all of it unravels. In any case, the person is 45 years previous and took an 11-day trip in the course of coaching camp. There have additionally been accidents to key gamers that makes me marvel if the Saints (and Jameis Winston!) may make a run on the division title.

Over 9.5 (+135) | Beneath 9.5 (-155)

Stackpole: Beneath 9.5. No one likes this a lot juice, but it surely’s price paying for right here. Of the Titans’ 12 wins final yr, 5 of them got here within the AFC South, which is not prone to occur once more with the Colts anticipated to win round 10 video games, the Jaguars returning to competency below new coach Doug Pederson and the Texans being frisky in 12 months 2 with Davis Mills. And even when Tennessee is ready to go 4-2 in its division, it must decide up six extra wins enjoying the whole AFC West, NFC East, Packers, Bengals and Payments. I simply do not see that occuring — particularly with out A.J. Brown to hold the passing sport.

Over 7.5 (-125) | Beneath 7.5 (+105)

No finest bets

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