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The Six Pack: Ohio State vs. Notre Dame, Georgia vs. Oregon among best Week 1 college football picks

The smooth launch of the 2022 season is over, and it is time for the true faculty soccer weekend to start. Do not get me unsuitable, I loved final week’s toe dip into the inviting waters, however the restricted slate did not supply the strong menu at our playing disposal this week.

In fact, I might need loved it extra had I received both my Sport of the Week or Lock of the Week bets and completed higher than 2-2. Alas, I didn’t, however I suppose 2-2 is healthier than 0-4, proper? Plus, ought to the losses depend in Week 0? Simply one thing to consider.

Anyway, there are a number of the similar caveats this week that we handled final week. The season’s early weeks could be essentially the most tough to wager as a result of we’re working with minimal data. Many coaches will not launch depth charts or inform us who their beginning quarterback is as they attempt to achieve any benefit over their opponent. That works out lots higher for them than us, however I nonetheless discovered six bets I be ok with this weekend.

All odds are by way of Caesars Sportsbook

Video games of the Week

Featured Sport | Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Notre Dame Combating Irish

No. 5 Notre Dame at No. 2 Ohio State: There can be 4 groups within the College Football Playoff, and there are most likely someplace between 10 and 12 groups which have a practical likelihood to be one of many 4 when the mud settles. Each of those packages are in that group and have reached the playoffs a number of instances. For 2022, nonetheless, I imagine there are solely two groups within the nation able to successful the nationwide title. Ohio State is certainly one of them. Notre Dame isn’t.

That is not a knock on Notre Dame as a result of the Irish can actually make the playoff. It is extra of an announcement about how significantly better than all people else (besides Alabama) I anticipate Ohio State can be. The Buckeyes have a Heisman favourite in QB C.J. Stroud, a possible top-five decide at receiver in Jaxon Smith-Njigba, like 15 different future NFL receivers, and one of many nation’s finest working backs, TreVeyon Henderson. The one gap it had final season was a gifted however predictable protection, which harm it in opposition to different gifted groups. The arrival of recent defensive coordinator Jim Knowles will resolve that.

That is an Ohio State staff that may put up at the very least 40 factors per week, and it’s important to determine a solution to sustain with that. Can a Notre Dame staff with a brand new QB and a scarcity of a confirmed receiving menace on the outside try this? Possibly! Michael Mayer is a wonderful asset within the passing sport, however you want game-breakers to maintain up with the Buckeyes, and I am not satisfied the Irish have them but. Ohio State 41, Notre Dame 20 | Ohio State -17

Featured Sport | Georgia Bulldogs vs. Oregon Geese

No. 11 Oregon vs. No. 3 Georgia: The defending nationwide champions open their title protection in opposition to the person who helped run their protection final yr. Dan Lanning was the defensive coordinator of one of the crucial spectacular models I’ve ever seen, and he is now getting his first crack at working a program at Oregon. With or with out Lanning calling the performs, I anticipate the Georgia protection will stay the most effective within the nation, even with the gamers it misplaced. Kirby Good and his workers have completed too good a job of recruiting that facet of the ball to anticipate a drop-off.

The issue Georgia faces right here is that Oregon has quite a lot of expertise on defensive, too. Mario Cristobal may’ve left for Miami, however he didn’t go away the cabinets empty. His recruiting prowess in Eugene was his largest promoting level to Miami — that, and the entire being a Hurricane himself factor — and I imagine this Oregon protection will give the Georgia offense bother. I am additionally skeptical that an Oregon offense probably led by Auburn switch Bo Nix will discover life straightforward. In different phrases, it is tough for me to think about this one turning into a shootout. Georgia 31, Oregon 17 | Beneath 53

Lock of the Week

Featured Sport | Oregon State Beavers vs. Boise State Broncos

Boise State at Oregon State: It is me, the one that appears to be unreasonably excessive on Boise State heading into the season. Boise State was our authentic Group of 5 darling, however in recent times it has been changed by different packages like UCF and Cincinnati. After going 12-2 and successful the Mountain West in 2019, the Broncos have gone 12-7 over the past two seasons and didn’t win the league. They’ve virtually been forgotten, however whereas Andy Avalos’ first season did not hit the heights Boise followers are accustomed to reaching, I imagine Yr 2 will see the Broncos once more competing for a convention title.

The primary proof of that may come Saturday evening after they hit the highway to face an Oregon State staff I have been excessive on over the previous couple of seasons. Nevertheless, the Beavers’ defensive dam has been too leaky. The Beavs ranked 89th nationally in defensive success fee final season and one hundredth in defensive EPA, permitting opponents to attain on 40.1% of their possessions (102nd). It is laborious to belief groups as a favourite after they play poorly on protection. Boise State 28, Oregon State 24 | Boise State +2.5

Private Narrative of the Week

Featured Sport | Purdue Boilermakers vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State at Purdue (Thursday): You’ll be able to simply paint your self right into a nook if you work on this business. You spend your complete offseason making ready for the autumn, and also you’re always requested for opinions about which groups are overrated and underrated. Effectively, I spent the offseason telling all people who requested (and a few who did not) that Penn State was essentially the most underrated staff within the Huge Ten and that Purdue was essentially the most overrated. It by no means occurred to me that they had been opening the season in opposition to one another, and we would get an thought of how good or silly I used to be off the bat.

However right here we’re, and I am sticking to my weapons. My thought course of is not overly sophisticated. Penn State is just too gifted to maintain enjoying on the lackluster stage it has the final two seasons. Purdue isn’t on the stage the place it will probably lose all the important thing gamers it did from final season’s staff and never anticipate to undergo a step again, even when solely a slight one. There is a motive a Penn State staff that went 7-6 final yr is favored on the highway in opposition to a Purdue staff that went 9-4. Do not overthink it. Penn State 27, Purdue 20 | Penn State -3.5

Beneath of the Week

Featured Sport | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Military West Level Black Knights

Army at Coastal Carolina: I really like nothing greater than betting the underneath in video games between service academies as a result of all of them run the choice offense, which retains the clock working and limits possessions. Coastal Carolina isn’t a service academy, however the identical precept applies right here. Coastal runs the triple possibility, it simply runs a extra fashionable and thrilling model. And whereas it seems to be totally different, Coastal nonetheless runs the ball almost 60% of the time on the finish of the day.

Additionally, as enjoyable as Coastal’s offense is, its protection took a step again final season and wasn’t nice in opposition to the run. That can work to Military’s benefit and permit the Knights to manage the clock and maintain the Chanticleers offense off the sector. I like Coastal to win and its possibilities of protecting. Nevertheless, I do not like both almost as a lot as I just like the underneath. Coastal Carolina 24, Military 20 | Beneath 53.5

Upset of the Week

Featured Sport | Florida Gators vs. Utah Utes

No. 7 Utah at Florida: We’re including one thing new to The Six Pack this season. I’ve at all times restricted the picks on this column to bets on the unfold or whole. I am together with an Upset of the Week, the place we’ll wager an underdog on the cash line. For these unfamiliar, a cash line wager is strictly betting on a staff to win. It does not matter how a lot it wins by, it simply has to win.

The Florida Gators are our first selection. Pay attention, I really like Utah. I believe the Utes are the very best staff within the Pac-12, and in the event that they win this sport they’ve a professional shot of reaching the School Soccer Playoff. The issue is that I do not make a behavior of betting on groups enjoying on the highway in opposition to SEC groups and successful too actually because it does not occur usually. 

There are questions on Florida in its first yr underneath Billy Napier, however whereas it won’t be ok to problem Georgia within the East, it is nonetheless a great staff — a great staff enjoying at residence in an setting quite a lot of different groups aren’t used to coping with. It is a bonus Utah followers are conversant in themselves when groups go to Salt Lake Metropolis. Florida wins this sport usually sufficient to be value betting. Florida 27, Utah 24 | Florida (+118)

Video games of the Week




Lock of the Week








Which faculty soccer picks are you able to make with confidence in Week 1, and which huge favourite will go down laborious? Visit SportsLine to see which teams will win and cover the spread — all from a confirmed laptop mannequin that has returned virtually $3,600 in revenue over the previous six-plus seasons — and discover out.

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